Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.3% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 59.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 60.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Danault
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Danault
O'Reilly
Last 10: Danault 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
1
Danault
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Danault
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (985)
56.6% (1,064)
-2.6%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
60.4% (260)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (146)
54.0% (261)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Danault is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Danault shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Danault
O'Reilly
Home
54.7% (636)
54.9% (801)
Away
52.4% (626)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Danault
O'Reilly
P1
54.1%
58.0%
P2
54.3%
56.7%
P3
52.5%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
58.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |