Phillip Danault vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 56 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 86-67 in 153 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 59.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 71.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 65.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Danault
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
67
-
86
(153 meetings)
67
86
Danault
O'Reilly
Last 10: Danault 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
16
40
Danault
O'Reilly
56 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
27
19
Danault
O'Reilly
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
24
27
Danault
O'Reilly
51 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (9,447)
56.2% (15,260)
-2.6%
Power Play
61.4% (757)
58.8% (3,445)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (1,702)
51.4% (2,811)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Danault is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,872).
Danault shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Danault
O'Reilly
Home
54.2% (5,820)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
52.3% (6,086)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Danault
O'Reilly
P1
53.7%
55.6%
P2
53.5%
57.0%
P3
52.7%
55.1%
OT
49.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 04:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |