Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 51.7% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 81.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 61.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Danault
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
18
(26 meetings)
8
18
Danault
O'Reilly
Last 10: Danault 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
10
Danault
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
5
4
Danault
O'Reilly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
4
Danault
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (895)
55.0% (1,084)
-2.4%
Power Play
55.7% (97)
56.8% (303)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
40.3% (149)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Danault shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Danault
O'Reilly
Home
54.0% (581)
54.8% (759)
Away
49.7% (576)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Danault
O'Reilly
P1
53.7%
55.3%
P2
55.3%
51.9%
P3
46.5%
54.2%
OT
46.2%
64.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |