Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 49.0% vs Lorentz 50.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Lorentz leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Lorentz 56.4%
Defensive zone
Colton 51.4%
Neutral zone
Colton 50.0%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Colton
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Colton
Lorentz
Last 10: Colton 5-5 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
3
2
Colton
Lorentz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
2
3
Colton
Lorentz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Colton
Lorentz
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (199)
51.7% (292)
-2.5%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
40.0% (10)
-6.7%
On power play, Lorentz has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Colton is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Colton shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Colton
Lorentz
Home
46.3% (121)
52.3% (155)
Away
51.7% (87)
50.0% (154)
By Period
Colton
Lorentz
P1
56.2%
59.2%
P2
46.8%
50.9%
P3
42.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
48.6%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Ross Colton |