Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 48.5% vs Lorentz 50.0% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Colton 71.0%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 60.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 57.6%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Colton
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (88)
52.2% (67)
-6.7%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
50.0% (2)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.9% (21)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Colton is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Colton shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Colton
Lorentz
Home
44.7% (47)
55.4% (65)
Away
49.0% (49)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Colton
Lorentz
P1
52.8%
59.3%
P2
47.1%
47.1%
P3
38.5%
44.8%
Final 5 min
41.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%