Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.4% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 61.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 62.4%
Neutral zone
Colton 52.8%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Colton
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (741)
48.9% (135)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
50.0% (4)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Colton shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Colton
Lorentz
Home
54.0% (411)
50.7% (75)
Away
49.1% (409)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Colton
Lorentz
P1
56.7%
60.0%
P2
53.1%
46.3%
P3
46.3%
44.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%