Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 54.0% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 52.8%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 61.2%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 52.3%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Colton
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Colton
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Colton
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (173)
48.3% (497)
+7.8%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
63.6% (11)
-7.3%
On even strength, Colton has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Colton is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Colton shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Colton
Lorentz
Home
55.3% (94)
50.4% (238)
Away
56.8% (95)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Colton
Lorentz
P1
48.1%
49.1%
P2
62.5%
48.0%
P3
57.1%
47.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
56.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |