Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.8% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+6.7%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 59.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 57.6%
Neutral zone
Colton 53.5%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Colton
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (524)
46.5% (101)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
33.3% (3)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
37.5% (8)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Colton is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Colton shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Colton
Lorentz
Home
52.9% (291)
49.1% (53)
Away
51.4% (290)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Colton
Lorentz
P1
50.6%
48.6%
P2
54.4%
36.7%
P3
51.6%
57.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%