Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.0% vs Lorentz 48.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Lorentz leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Lorentz 51.8%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 51.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 51.1%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Colton
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Colton
Lorentz
Last 10: Colton 5-5 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
3
2
Colton
Lorentz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
2
4
Colton
Lorentz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Colton
Lorentz
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,800)
48.9% (1,118)
+2.7%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
50.0% (26)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
41.9% (86)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Colton shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Colton
Lorentz
Home
51.9% (1,013)
50.8% (606)
Away
50.2% (978)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Colton
Lorentz
P1
53.5%
53.0%
P2
52.6%
46.8%
P3
47.9%
46.1%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Ross Colton |