Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 45.2% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Colton 66.4%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 63.5%
Neutral zone
Colton 50.5%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Colton
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (75)
30.8% (26)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
57.1% (7)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Colton is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Colton shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Colton
Lorentz
Home
42.9% (49)
35.0% (20)
Away
37.5% (48)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Colton
Lorentz
P1
48.9%
38.5%
P2
33.3%
37.5%
P3
31.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
40.2%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%