Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 47.1% vs Novak 46.5% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Donato 54.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 59.9%
Neutral zone
Donato 52.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Donato
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
30.4% (23)
43.2% (118)
-12.8%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
47.8% (23)
+5.5%
On even strength, Novak has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Donato is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Donato shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Donato
Novak
Home
47.1% (17)
50.7% (71)
Away
33.3% (21)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Donato
Novak
P1
33.3%
44.7%
P2
28.6%
50.0%
P3
66.7%
38.9%
Final 5 min
30.0%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
39.5%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%