Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.3% vs Novak 45.6% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Donato 50.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 59.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Donato
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (140)
43.8% (384)
-0.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
58.8% (17)
-30.2%
On power play, Novak has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Donato is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Donato shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Donato
Novak
Home
44.6% (83)
46.5% (202)
Away
39.1% (64)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Donato
Novak
P1
53.2%
49.2%
P2
33.3%
44.2%
P3
41.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
42.2%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.5%