Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.4% vs Novak 45.0% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Donato 52.0%
Defensive zone
Donato 53.2%
Neutral zone
Donato 50.6%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Donato
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (400)
42.9% (198)
+0.6%
Power Play
48.7% (119)
40.9% (22)
+7.8%
On power play, Donato has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Donato shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Donato
Novak
Home
50.2% (279)
40.9% (110)
Away
38.2% (246)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Donato
Novak
P1
44.6%
39.1%
P2
46.6%
43.9%
P3
42.0%
44.9%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.6%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%