Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.0% vs Hartman 43.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 54.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 56.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Roy
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Roy
Hartman
Last 7: Roy 4-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Roy
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (275)
40.9% (413)
+0.6%
Power Play
81.8% (11)
53.6% (28)
+28.2%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (31)
38.9% (36)
+22.4%
On power play, Roy has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Roy is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Roy shoots right. Hartman is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Roy
Hartman
Home
46.1% (167)
46.2% (249)
Away
43.3% (150)
36.4% (228)
By Period
Roy
Hartman
P1
46.7%
45.4%
P2
38.5%
39.1%
P3
50.5%
40.2%
Final 5 min
42.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |