Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 71.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
0
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
1
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,070)
45.0% (1,011)
+2.3%
Power Play
62.1% (140)
46.7% (135)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (269)
31.1% (122)
+12.8%
On power play, Backlund has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Backlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Home / Away
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.1% (768)
43.8% (625)
Away
47.0% (711)
43.9% (643)
By Period
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.8%
47.8%
P2
47.5%
39.5%
P3
49.3%
44.2%
OT
59.3%
61.5%
Final 5 min
45.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |