Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sam Carrick
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% vs Carrick 49.5% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 52.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 53.1%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (349)
48.9% (352)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (88)
42.2% (45)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Home
38.5% (231)
46.9% (192)
Away
43.2% (206)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
P1
40.2%
48.1%
P2
36.0%
50.0%
P3
45.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |