Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sam Carrick
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Carrick 49.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Last 8: Nugent-Hopkins 3-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
49.2% (307)
-3.8%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
66.7% (6)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
48.2% (56)
-3.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Home
46.1% (336)
50.3% (175)
Away
44.2% (346)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
P1
49.1%
41.0%
P2
45.3%
51.2%
P3
42.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |