Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sam Carrick
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs Carrick 53.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
53.9% (521)
-2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
57.1% (35)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
51.5% (229)
-15.6%
On power play, Carrick has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Home
50.8% (258)
52.7% (408)
Away
44.9% (234)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
P1
51.6%
51.4%
P2
45.2%
56.6%
P3
47.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |