Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sam Carrick
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Carrick 53.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 67.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
53.8% (654)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
63.9% (36)
-33.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
Home
48.9% (270)
50.0% (328)
Away
48.1% (287)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Carrick
P1
48.7%
56.7%
P2
50.0%
51.1%
P3
47.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |