Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 61.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.4% vs O'Reilly 54.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 75.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 67.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 73.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Miller
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Miller
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (526)
55.3% (815)
+6.1%
Power Play
65.3% (118)
58.0% (219)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (62)
49.2% (124)
-2.4%
On power play, Miller has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Miller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Miller shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Miller
O'Reilly
Home
61.8% (351)
55.8% (579)
Away
59.7% (355)
54.6% (579)
By Period
Miller
O'Reilly
P1
58.5%
57.5%
P2
64.0%
54.7%
P3
59.6%
54.1%
OT
57.1%
48.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.8%
O'Reilly
48.0%▼
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |