Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan O'Reilly
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 53.2% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 52.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 62.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Pageau
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Pageau
O'Reilly
Last 10: Pageau 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Pageau
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Pageau
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (384)
57.1% (1,367)
-2.2%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
59.4% (286)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (70)
52.5% (257)
+0.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pageau is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Pageau shoots right. O'Reilly is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (709).
Home / Away
Pageau
O'Reilly
Home
55.4% (222)
59.2% (936)
Away
52.5% (259)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Pageau
O'Reilly
P1
55.3%
57.3%
P2
55.2%
57.5%
P3
51.1%
55.0%
OT
66.7%
71.1%
Final 5 min
56.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:13 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |