Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 54.7% vs Kuraly 49.2% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 74.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
O'Reilly
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (669)
50.8% (370)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
44.1% (127)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (530).
O'Reilly shoots left. Kuraly is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Kuraly
Home
56.4% (486)
52.8% (269)
Away
54.0% (441)
44.7% (228)
By Period
O'Reilly
Kuraly
P1
55.3%
53.2%
P2
53.4%
45.8%
P3
56.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
57.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%