Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.2% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 89.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 57.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 60.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
O'Reilly
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
O'Reilly
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (690)
49.2% (901)
+6.9%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
68.2% (22)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
49.8% (219)
-3.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
O'Reilly shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Kuraly
Home
58.3% (408)
51.7% (603)
Away
53.6% (487)
47.3% (539)
By Period
O'Reilly
Kuraly
P1
57.7%
50.9%
P2
54.8%
49.5%
P3
55.2%
49.1%
OT
45.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |