Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 54.9% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 73.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
O'Reilly
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (826)
51.8% (444)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (129)
45.3% (150)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
O'Reilly shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Kuraly
Home
55.8% (579)
54.6% (304)
Away
54.9% (597)
45.5% (290)
By Period
O'Reilly
Kuraly
P1
57.7%
55.2%
P2
54.8%
45.7%
P3
54.3%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%