Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Nosek 53.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
O'Reilly
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
O'Reilly
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
55.1% (557)
+1.5%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
50.0% (4)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
47.7% (111)
+6.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
O'Reilly shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Nosek
Home
54.9% (801)
52.3% (342)
Away
58.7% (784)
55.5% (330)
By Period
O'Reilly
Nosek
P1
58.0%
49.0%
P2
56.7%
53.8%
P3
55.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
56.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |