Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 54.9% vs Nosek 46.9% (+11.8%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 50.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 53.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
O'Reilly
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (826)
48.5% (66)
+6.9%
Power Play
57.9% (221)
100.0% (1)
-42.1%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (129)
29.6% (27)
+20.8%
On power play, Nosek has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
O'Reilly shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Nosek
Home
55.8% (579)
44.0% (25)
Away
54.9% (597)
43.5% (69)
By Period
O'Reilly
Nosek
P1
57.7%
46.4%
P2
54.8%
34.2%
P3
54.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
55.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%