Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Dowd wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 55.5% vs Strome 44.0% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowd 68.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 97.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 96.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Dowd
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
4
(18 meetings)
14
4
Dowd
Strome
Last 10: Dowd 8-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
4
Dowd
Strome
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
8
0
Dowd
Strome
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (617)
41.9% (626)
+16.3%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
50.0% (76)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
51.2% (41)
-4.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dowd is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Dowd shoots right. Strome is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Dowd
Strome
Home
58.4% (399)
40.8% (363)
Away
53.9% (369)
45.5% (380)
By Period
Dowd
Strome
P1
59.0%
43.0%
P2
56.1%
41.3%
P3
54.6%
45.9%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |