Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.0% vs Carrick 49.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 77.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 53.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 57.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Strome
Carrick
Last 5: Strome 2-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Strome
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (749)
48.9% (352)
-4.8%
Power Play
46.2% (52)
81.3% (16)
-35.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
42.2% (45)
+10.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Strome shoots right. Carrick is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
45.1% (441)
46.9% (192)
Away
43.5% (377)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
42.9%
48.1%
P2
44.4%
50.0%
P3
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |