Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.2% vs Carrick 53.8% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 73.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 77.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Strome
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Strome
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (267)
55.1% (439)
-10.9%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
66.7% (3)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
49.1% (53)
+0.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Strome shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
42.0% (157)
58.2% (225)
Away
45.4% (141)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
40.0%
56.7%
P2
46.4%
52.8%
P3
44.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |