Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Strome 75.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 76.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.3%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Strome
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (788)
49.2% (307)
-6.2%
Power Play
47.9% (96)
66.7% (6)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (34)
48.2% (56)
+1.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Strome shoots right. Carrick is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
42.6% (486)
50.3% (175)
Away
45.1% (432)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
41.0%
41.0%
P2
47.8%
51.2%
P3
42.1%
55.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%