Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 42.3% vs Carrick 53.7% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 80.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 69.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 57.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Strome
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Strome
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Strome
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (1,040)
53.8% (654)
-12.6%
Power Play
43.0% (151)
0.0% (2)
+43.0%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
63.9% (36)
-12.5%
On power play, Strome has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Strome shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
40.1% (581)
50.0% (328)
Away
43.1% (645)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
41.4%
56.7%
P2
42.9%
51.1%
P3
40.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
40.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |