Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Carrick 52.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 80.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 65.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 59.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Strome
Carrick
Last 10: Strome 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
2
Strome
Carrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Strome
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (6,839)
52.1% (2,513)
-8.0%
Power Play
49.3% (854)
61.3% (75)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
50.7% (430)
-9.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Strome shoots right. Carrick is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
44.4% (4,046)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
44.7% (4,057)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
44.0%
51.8%
P2
45.3%
52.2%
P3
44.3%
52.4%
Final 5 min
44.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |