Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 46.8% vs Carrick 53.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 76.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.1%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Strome
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Strome
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (371)
53.9% (521)
-7.5%
Power Play
43.3% (97)
57.1% (35)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
51.5% (229)
+4.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Strome shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
47.6% (225)
52.7% (408)
Away
44.8% (261)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
45.4%
51.4%
P2
47.6%
56.6%
P3
45.2%
52.1%
Final 5 min
45.9%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |