Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bennett wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.2% vs Aho 52.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 62.2%
Defensive zone
Bennett 59.3%
Neutral zone
Bennett 61.7%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Bennett
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Bennett
Aho
Last 5: Bennett 0-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Bennett
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Bennett
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (235)
52.4% (622)
-5.6%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
60.7% (28)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
52.4% (42)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bennett is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Bennett shoots left. Aho is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Bennett
Aho
Home
43.4% (122)
54.9% (359)
Away
51.1% (139)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Bennett
Aho
P1
56.5%
51.6%
P2
42.6%
53.3%
P3
44.1%
52.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |