Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Bennett wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 45.9% vs Aho 53.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 72.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 53.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 64.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Bennett
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bennett
Aho
Last 5: Bennett 3-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Bennett
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
0
Bennett
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (772)
51.2% (785)
-6.5%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
63.8% (213)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
57.9% (57)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Bennett shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Bennett
Aho
Home
48.5% (447)
54.9% (548)
Away
42.1% (411)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Bennett
Aho
P1
47.1%
52.8%
P2
45.8%
58.9%
P3
42.9%
50.6%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:03 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |