Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Bennett wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Aho 51.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 53.9%
Defensive zone
Aho 50.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Bennett
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
21
(41 meetings)
20
21
Bennett
Aho
Last 10: Bennett 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
10
6
Bennett
Aho
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
6
9
Bennett
Aho
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
4
6
Bennett
Aho
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (5,683)
50.1% (6,619)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.7% (555)
58.9% (1,310)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (256)
46.3% (464)
-4.5%
On power play, Aho has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Bennett shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Bennett
Aho
Home
48.4% (3,262)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
45.9% (3,232)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Bennett
Aho
P1
48.0%
51.1%
P2
46.5%
52.0%
P3
46.9%
50.7%
OT
52.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | OT | 00:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:03 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |