Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Bennett wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.3% vs Aho 51.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 63.1%
Defensive zone
Bennett 59.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 58.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Bennett
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bennett
Aho
Last 5: Bennett 2-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Bennett
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
0
Bennett
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Bennett
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (766)
48.5% (778)
-0.3%
Power Play
45.1% (82)
63.4% (191)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (56)
50.8% (65)
-16.9%
On power play, Aho has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Bennett shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Bennett
Aho
Home
49.1% (458)
51.3% (530)
Away
44.8% (446)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Bennett
Aho
P1
47.9%
50.0%
P2
47.2%
51.3%
P3
46.4%
52.1%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
40.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |