Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Aho 52.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 53.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 64.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 55.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Bennett
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bennett
Aho
Last 7: Bennett 4-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
1
Bennett
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Bennett
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
51.6% (819)
-6.1%
Power Play
63.0% (92)
58.4% (173)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (29)
46.3% (67)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bennett is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Bennett shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Bennett
Aho
Home
46.5% (456)
53.9% (568)
Away
47.3% (421)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Bennett
Aho
P1
46.6%
55.4%
P2
50.5%
51.2%
P3
43.5%
50.9%
OT
44.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |