Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Bennett wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 46.6% vs Aho 54.9% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 72.7%
Defensive zone
Aho 57.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Bennett
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bennett
Aho
Last 5: Bennett 3-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bennett
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bennett
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (909)
54.5% (870)
-8.0%
Power Play
43.1% (51)
62.4% (266)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
37.1% (62)
+1.4%
On power play, Aho has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Bennett shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Bennett
Aho
Home
45.4% (449)
53.9% (603)
Away
46.9% (524)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Bennett
Aho
P1
49.6%
54.1%
P2
43.7%
55.0%
P3
45.1%
57.4%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |