Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bennett wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.3% vs Aho 50.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 50.6%
Defensive zone
Bennett 55.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Bennett
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Bennett
Aho
Last 10: Bennett 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
5
0
Bennett
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
2
Bennett
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Bennett
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (780)
49.9% (851)
-3.5%
Power Play
57.3% (150)
53.5% (144)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
43.3% (60)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Bennett shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Bennett
Aho
Home
50.3% (519)
53.2% (554)
Away
45.7% (457)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Bennett
Aho
P1
47.5%
49.1%
P2
46.6%
50.8%
P3
49.8%
49.7%
OT
70.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
44.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | OT | 00:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |