Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Hertl 52.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 84.5%
Defensive zone
Bennett 55.4%
Neutral zone
Bennett 67.5%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Bennett
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bennett
Hertl
Last 5: Bennett 1-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Bennett
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Bennett
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
51.6% (1,084)
-6.1%
Power Play
63.0% (92)
61.0% (246)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (29)
44.1% (136)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Bennett is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Bennett shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Bennett
Hertl
Home
46.5% (456)
55.2% (696)
Away
47.3% (421)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Bennett
Hertl
P1
46.6%
55.4%
P2
50.5%
54.8%
P3
43.5%
48.9%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |