Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Bennett wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 45.9% vs Hertl 56.8% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 59.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 79.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 77.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Bennett
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bennett
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (772)
57.0% (718)
-12.3%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
64.9% (188)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
44.2% (77)
-1.3%
On even strength, Hertl has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Bennett shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Bennett
Hertl
Home
48.5% (447)
59.2% (463)
Away
42.1% (411)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Bennett
Hertl
P1
47.1%
56.3%
P2
45.8%
55.4%
P3
42.9%
60.5%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |