Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Bennett wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.3% vs Hertl 54.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 86.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 60.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 79.2%
20.8%
79.2%
Bennett
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Bennett
Hertl
Last 10: Bennett 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
6
5
Bennett
Hertl
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bennett
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
0
Bennett
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (766)
54.1% (1,117)
-5.9%
Power Play
45.1% (82)
59.8% (296)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (56)
34.4% (32)
-0.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Bennett shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Bennett
Hertl
Home
49.1% (458)
54.3% (709)
Away
44.8% (446)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Bennett
Hertl
P1
47.9%
51.6%
P2
47.2%
53.6%
P3
46.4%
58.6%
OT
20.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
40.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |