Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Steel wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 46.6% vs Hertl 56.8% (-12.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 64.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 54.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Steel
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (177)
57.0% (718)
-12.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
64.9% (188)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
44.2% (77)
+0.6%
On even strength, Hertl has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Steel is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Steel shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Steel
Hertl
Home
46.7% (90)
59.2% (463)
Away
43.7% (119)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Steel
Hertl
P1
47.8%
56.3%
P2
47.0%
55.4%
P3
41.3%
60.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%