Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Steel wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.6% vs Hertl 57.2% (-7.0%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 76.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 72.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Steel
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (200)
58.1% (823)
-5.6%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
56.2% (265)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
62.9% (35)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Steel shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Steel
Hertl
Home
49.5% (109)
59.7% (561)
Away
51.7% (143)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Steel
Hertl
P1
49.5%
51.6%
P2
47.5%
63.8%
P3
56.6%
58.6%
OT
40.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%