Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 50.4% vs Stamkos 52.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 50.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Monahan
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Monahan
Stamkos
Last 10: Monahan 1-9 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Monahan
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Monahan
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
5
Monahan
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,063)
51.4% (725)
-0.4%
Power Play
49.4% (314)
53.7% (123)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
61.4% (44)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Monahan is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Monahan shoots left. Stamkos is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Monahan
Stamkos
Home
53.8% (705)
53.3% (426)
Away
47.0% (702)
51.3% (466)
By Period
Monahan
Stamkos
P1
47.3%
56.6%
P2
53.9%
48.2%
P3
49.6%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |