Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 53.9% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 52.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 54.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Monahan
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (231)
55.3% (628)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
55.1% (216)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
40.2% (87)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Monahan shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Monahan
Stamkos
Home
53.5% (144)
55.5% (499)
Away
56.5% (177)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Monahan
Stamkos
P1
52.5%
50.7%
P2
50.9%
53.8%
P3
60.8%
55.9%
OT
100.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%