Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 54.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 61.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Monahan
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Monahan
Stamkos
Last 5: Monahan 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
1
Monahan
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Monahan
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Monahan
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (641)
49.3% (789)
+2.2%
Power Play
62.8% (129)
56.9% (181)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
54.1% (98)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Monahan shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Monahan
Stamkos
Home
53.9% (362)
52.0% (512)
Away
52.5% (417)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Monahan
Stamkos
P1
48.0%
42.1%
P2
57.0%
56.4%
P3
54.1%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |