Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.9% vs Gourde 44.8% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 88.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 65.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 83.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Crosby
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Crosby
Gourde
Last 6: Crosby 4-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
0
Crosby
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Crosby
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,479)
40.9% (279)
+11.6%
Power Play
55.7% (397)
58.3% (60)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (59)
36.0% (25)
+11.5%
On even strength, Crosby has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Crosby is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Crosby shoots left. Gourde is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Crosby
Gourde
Home
54.9% (993)
45.5% (189)
Away
51.1% (942)
41.1% (175)
By Period
Crosby
Gourde
P1
52.2%
42.4%
P2
53.2%
48.3%
P3
53.4%
40.3%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |