Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.3% vs Gourde 49.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 75.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 72.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Crosby
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Crosby
Gourde
Last 9: Crosby 4-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
1
Crosby
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Crosby
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,169)
49.1% (731)
+1.7%
Power Play
60.2% (261)
54.3% (81)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
48.2% (85)
-3.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Crosby shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Crosby
Gourde
Home
53.2% (726)
50.9% (479)
Away
51.7% (724)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Crosby
Gourde
P1
51.3%
51.2%
P2
52.1%
49.8%
P3
54.1%
47.5%
OT
45.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |